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Municipal By-elections, Wards Won (2021-May 2026)
If I consider the results of wards won in by-elections since the 2021 Local Government elections, it seems to me that the ANC performance is declining, but not collapsing, and that of the DA stagnating, but declining in areas required to maintain the party's governance control over the Western Cape, and its competitiveness in the Northern Cape.

Frans Minnaar
3 days ago0 min read


Political Trends, August 2026
A total of 987,075 votes were casted during local government by-elections over the period since the 2021 Local Government elections, until the end of May 2026. Of these votes, 36,8% was in favour of the ANC, 24,61% for the DA, 4,18% for the MKP, 8,91% for the EFF, 6,4% for the EFF, 8,67% for the IFP, 1,53% for the FF+ and 9,91% for other (including independents).

Frans Minnaar
Sep 20 min read


Results of municipal by-elections: 2021-February 2026
The ANC performed worse in 46 by-elections at the time of these elections, compared with the party’s performance in those wards during the 2021 local government elections. The DA performed better in a net gain of 9 wards, the EFF performed better in 6, the PA in 16 and the IFP in 23. Other parties and independents performed worse in 13 wards.

Frans Minnaar
May 190 min read
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